Covid19 Reality Check
**NOTE: many of the links below may no longer work because of the broad censorship that occurred. Should you find the links broken, try going to archive.org and copying the link into the search field and you may still be able to read the content.
On July 2, 2020, FOXLA Los Angeles published an article (avail. here: https://www.foxla.com/news/santa-monica-allowing-citations-for-failing-to-wear-mask-in-public-100-for-first-violation ) threatening Santa Monicans with fines for failing to wear masks in public after California was re-opened for business. The headline was threatening, used scare tactics and leveraged reader’s fatigue in order to have people comply. The first sentence of the article stated that Santa Monica had strengthened face covering requirements. Generally speaking we no longer read, and most assumed there were new rules that if they did not obey, they would be fined. If one read the article, the bottom line of face coverings, save some explicit exceptions and exemptions, is that one must observe social distancing of 6’ OR cover their face, which was in no way different then the ‘rules’ that were first employed upon the shuttering of the economy. The entire Covid-19 ‘supplement’ can be found here: https://www.santamonica.gov/press/2020/07/02/santa-monica-strengthens-face-covering-requirement-and-allows-for-citations-and-refusal-of-service One MORE TIME, 6’ OR a mask. So why are we doing both?
We are more than 4 months into the Covid narrative with no apparent end in site. Real-life stats are now becoming widely available though these have been mostly on a mainstream media blackout since lockdowns started. This article is simply a tour through data that is available, but not necessarily easy to find due to censorship and a proliferation of media that gravitates to fear tactics as well as propaganda. Interesting note: the 2012 National Defense Authorization Act, signed into law in 2013, legalized the use of propaganda on the US public and essentially neutralized the Smith-Mundt Act of 1948 and Foreign Relations Authorizations Act of 1987, which protected the US public from propaganda. The result: the media can broadcast confirmed non-truths legally. (article: https://commonsenseevaluation.com/2016/11/21/propaganda-on-the-us-public/ )
My opinion doesn’t matter; I don’t even think politics/political views should be considered in this arena. What is important is doing the very best for our communities, our businesses, our living, breathing people and their mental health based upon real life data and experience regardless of where that data leads. I do think it’s important to understand what many, many experts are saying about statistics, face covering, lockdowns, returning children to school, statistical data, vaccines, etc.
Every item listed here is not my opinion (save one) – this writing is backed by credible sources with links to the material. Please also note, this is only a small sampling of the data that is available. In other words, I could beat you over the head with a mountain of data corroborating what is here.
And what is sorely needed when the stakes are high is good data irrespective of political view; some of the data comes from non-partisan sources, some is put forward by outlets with political leanings. So, you will encounter political views that may not be in line with yours. The main aim here is presenting a sampling of non-fear-based information that hopefully sheds some light on best practices so that we can move forward.
I would estimate the reading time for this info to be about 15 minutes – not to worry, I’ve included some graphics to give your eyes a break! If you choose to watch the videos and read the articles, the investment of time will most likely be about 2 hours.
Present Fatalities
About the only fact we are hearing in mainstream media repetitively, loudly and many times per day is the number of new cases. What is getting little or no exposure is the fatalities. In fact, fatalities since the third week of April have been dropping very quickly, which is clearly visible in the graphics below. The first shows national death stats by numbers to the week ending July 15, 2020. Please note, at the height of deaths in April, the number of deaths was 16,909 for that week. The number of deaths for the week ending July 11, 2020 was only 272. Also, many cases of misreporting are beginning to hit the news. I’ll let you find those stories.
The second graphic is national stats in graph ending on July 4, 2020. The third graphic shows New York’s stats (which suffered the highest number of deaths) in graph form and reflects a similar curve in terms of declining deaths over the same time frame. The fourth graphic is from Florida. I’ve included a number of graphs from differing sources for a broader spectrum of results which do seem to collide in terms of general numbers.
Tony Robbins recently made a short series on YouTube called “Covid-19 Facts From The Frontline; Unmasking the Science You Aren’t Hearing On TV” which consulted veteran experts on several matters related to Covid. The first video in the series is an overview of all the segments. Videos after the first focus on each expert he spoke with and are as follows: #2 falling mortality rates, #3 ineffective nature of masks, #4 CDC guidelines. The playlist can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YgP_Au5RZVw&list=PLYTXvUDQT5pUaoPTzi71UIqilqgBOKkQe&index=1v=YgP_Au5RZVw&list=PLYTXvUDQT5pUaoPTzi71UIqilqgBOKkQe&index=1 There are additional videos in the playlist, but the first four are most germane to this discussion
Are Masks Effective for Stopping the Spread of Covid?
Businesses are being shuttered because of the spread of the disease, which we are told may be controlled by wearing face coverings. So let’s dig into what experts are saying about masks.
On June 1, 2020 The Association of American Physicians and Surgeons published a Mask Facts page containing fantastic data on what masks do, what particle sizes they are effective for, what they do not do and how they are supposed to be used. It is very interesting to discover that the very masks and face coverings that are recommended are ineffectual for stopping Covid sized particles from reaching our faces. Countless studies have been conducted on the effectiveness of mask, and these studies are proving masks are ineffectual. This is just an example.
I’ve copied a bit of the text in this report here. The report dissects several pieces of valuable mask information and is cited with studies. Make sure to read the ‘final thoughts’ section copied below. Complete face masks report avail. here: https://aapsonline.org/mask-facts/
Note: A COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) particle is 0.125 micrometers (μm); influenza virus size is *1 nm = 0.001 micron; 1000 nm = 1 micron; Micrometer (μm) is the preferred name for micron (an older term)
1 meter is = 1,000,000,000 nm or 1,000,000 microns
- N95 – A properly fitted N95 will block 95% of tiny air particles down to 0.3 μm (COVID PARTICLE IS MUCH SMALLER THAN THIS; see above;*emphasis added by me) from reaching the wearer’s face. https://www.honeywell.com/en-us/newsroom/news/2020/03/n95-masks-explained.
- But even these have problems: many have exhalation valve for easier breathing and less moisture inside the mask.
- Surgical masks are designed to protect patients from a surgeon’s respiratory droplets, aren’t effective at blocking particles smaller than 100 μm. https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:VLXWeZBll7YJ:https://multimedia.3m.com/mws/media/957730O/respirators-and-surgical-masks-contrast-technical-bulletin.pdf+&cd=13&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
- Filter efficiency was measured across a wide range of small particle sizes (0.02 to 1 µm) at 33 and 99 L/min.
▪ N95 respirators had efficiencies greater than 95% (as expected).
▪ T-shirts had 10% efficiency,
▪ Scarves 10% to 20%,
▪ Cloth masks 10% to 30%,
▪ Sweatshirts 20% to 40%, and
▪ Towels 40%.
▪ All of the cloth masks and materials had near zero efficiency at 0.3 µm, a particle size that easily penetrates into the lungs.
▪ Another study evaluated 44 masks, respirators, and other materials with similar methods and small aerosols (0.08 and 0.22 µm).
▪ N95 FFR filter efficiency was greater than 95%.
▪ Medical masks – 55% efficiency
▪ General masks – 38% and
▪ Handkerchiefs – 2% (one layer) to 13% (four layers) efficiency.
▪ Conclusion: Wearing masks will not reduce SARS-CoV-2.
▪ N95 masks protect health care workers, but are not recommended for source control transmission.
▪ Surgical masks are better than cloth but not very efficient at preventing emissions from infected patients.
▪ Cloth masks will be ineffective at preventing SARS-CoV-2 transmission, whether worn as source control or as personal protective equipment (PPE).
“Masks may confuse that message and give people a false sense of security. If masks had been the solution in Asia, shouldn’t they have stopped the pandemic before it spread elsewhere?”
*The first randomized controlled trial of cloth masks: https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/5/4/e006577
- Penetration of cloth masks by particles was 97% and medical masks 44%, 3M Vflex 9105 N95 (0.1%), 3M 9320 N95 (<0.01%).
- Moisture retention, reuse of cloth masks and poor filtration may result in increased risk of infection.
- The virus may survive on the surface of the face- masks
- Self-contamination through repeated use and improper doffing is possible. A contaminated cloth mask may transfer pathogen from the mask to the bare hands of the wearer.
- Cloth masks should not be recommended for health care workers, particularly in high-risk situations, and guidelines need to be updated.
Final Thoughts
- Surgical masks – loose fitting. They are designed to protect the patient from the doctors’ respiratory droplets. The wearer is not protected from others airborne particles
- People do not wear masks properly. Most people have the mask under the nose. The wearer does not have glasses on and the eyes are a portal of entry.
- The designer masks and scarves offer minimal protection – they give a false sense of security to both the wearer and those around the wearer. **Not to mention they add a perverse lightheartedness to the situation.
- If you are walking alone, no mask – avoid folks – that is common sense.
- Remember – children under 2 should not wear masks – accidental suffocation and difficulty breathing in some
- If wearing a mask makes people go out and get Vitamin D – go for it. In the 1918 flu pandemic people who went outside did better. Early reports are showing people with COVID-19 with low Vitamin D do worse than those with normal levels. Perhaps that is why shut-ins do so poorly. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20058578v4
- If you are sick, stay home!
On March 31, 2020, WHO was cited to ‘stand by recommendation to NOT wear masks unless sick or caring for sick’. Article avail here: https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/30/world/coronavirus-who-masks-recommendation-trnd/index.html
Here’s a social post from the US Surgeon General on Feb 29, 2020 stating that masks are NOT effective in preventing the general spread of Covid. Archive of Twitter post here: https://web.archive.org/web/20200229123317/https:/twitter.com/Surgeon_General/status/1233725785283932160
Lastly on the mask topic, here’s an article about the Spanish Flu in 1918, published on April 2, 2020. People were compelled to wear masks to stave off the spread. In 1918 they discovered that masks were ineffectual for stopping transmission. The article is here: https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/everyone-wore-masks-during-the-1918-flu-pandemic-they-were-useless/
Are Lockdowns Effective?
Dr. Dan Erikson, on April 27, 2020 from California says it is time to end our lockdown because lockdowns are not working. Dr. Erikson based his findings on a real life data set and compares that to locales that did not shut down. He explains his why general lockdowns are ineffectual based upon stats and any restrictions should be based on the landscape of that specific area: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=93QGMEERgMk
The Association of American Physicians and Surgeons release a statement on July 13, 2020 that suggests we need to take a different approach to Covid surge. That statement can be accessed here: https://aapsonline.org/aaps-suggests-different-approach-to-covid-19-surge/ and agrees with Erikson re: restrictions based upon locale.
Financial Burden of Re-opening Businesses/Schools with Restrictions – THIS is my opinion!
One piece of statistical data that clearly emerges when one digs into Covid-19 is, generally speaking, it is as lethal as an average flu season and has risks to the same population demographics as the flu. In fact, in 2009 we had a horrible flu season with a death toll that out-paced Covid-19 by more than two times the rate of death and we did not shut down our economy or schools. And it begs the simplest of questions: why are we shut down now?
And why are we continuing to shut down? We have no proof that shutdowns are accomplishing anything save harming people and business. Why are we not beating a path to the countries and locations that did not shut down and broadly broadcasting the findings of what is occurring there?
Businesses that do re-open do so under scaled operations and restrictions. The restrictions that are being bandied about for school reopenings have an incredible financial burden. Is anyone considering the time and cost investment to institute these restrictions? Will these costs wind up being covered by tax payers? Can small businesses and schools actually survive bearing this additional financial burden? These restrictions and scaled re-openings do nothing but cost the small business owner additional money to reopen their business. Small businesses have lost money for the past 4 months are now being asked to spend additional funds, institute policies that cost money, and hire additional staff to manage those policies. Large global corporate businesses (like Home Depot, Walmart, etc.) were considered essential businesses and continued operation. Even with restrictions, those businesses were allowed to continue earning. The small business owner was disposable in this equation. If we can stand in line at Home Depot and use social distancing, why we can’t we do that at any business?
An interesting fact to consider: during the July 4th holiday weekend, Gavin Newsome ordered restaurants, bars, and other small businesses closed. Meanwhile, his winery, PlumpJack, was open.
Legality of Covid ‘orders’
If we look to the Covid-19 guidance provided by the state of California, it is clearly stated as guidance. It is not law or rule (avail. here: https://covid19.ca.gov/industry-guidance/). However, the website (which is an official website for CA) says that businesses must perform 5 critical activities before reopening which include:
- Perform a detailed risk assessment and create a site-specific protection plan
- Train employees on how to limit the spread of COVID-19. This includes how to screen themselves for symptoms and when to stay home.
- Set up individual control measures and screenings
- Put disinfection protocols in place
- Establish physical distancing guidelines
Consider that this guidance was never voted into law. Laws require the legislative body of governance to convene and vote a proposed bill into law – this never happened. And governors do not have the power to make law. This is one of the reasons we’ve seen many instances of law enforcement refusing to enforce Covid-19 restrictions. An example of this is when Gavin Newsome closed all beaches under threat of arrest over the July 4th holiday weekend and the LA Sheriff’s Department shared on social media “safety first, jail last.”
Orange County recently caved to public opinion and protests regarding face mask mandates. (article avail. here: https://abc7.com/orange-county-coronavirus-mask-oc-masks-health-officer-resigns/6243230/ ). The person largely responsible for this was Peggy Hall who created lots of public awareness by educating people about what powers the governor actually has. Her YouTube channel is here: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheHealthyAmericanPeggyHall/videos and here she educates about guidance being a suggestion, not a law. That video is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kYcG72rwsek ; this video goes further to use examples to explain what regulations can be cited/used to close businesses, and oddly, those are not Covid restrictions.
In Florida, residents and one political leader, Anthony Sabatini filed suit alleging orders requiring masks illegal. (Article here: https://www.wftv.com/news/local/its-utter-nonsense-florida-rep-anthony-sabatini-files-lawsuit-alleging-orange-county-mask-ordinance-is-unconstitutional/MC6KXPRYUVHMXNOMACKSHNUYMM/ )
Additional data on legal activity regarding the legality of Covid regulations was compiled by Corey Lynn, an investigative journalist. Here she cites several attorneys bringing law suits in several cities challenging the legality of Covid restrictions. (avail here: https://www.coreysdigs.com/law-order/attorneys-fight-for-constitutional-rights-against-tyranny/ ; links to all her resources are included in the article)
Pastor Arthur Hodges of South Bay Pentecostal Church has sued the State of California, Gavin Newsome, and other officials for the illegal shutdown of churches in the state. The suit was filed on May 8, 2020 and has been appealed several times. They are still fighting to keep churches open. That clip is here: https://youtu.be/xeuCGmddqGI?t=419 (link set to start at 6:59)
On July 16, 2020 NBC News tweeted about a Provo Utah public meeting being abruptly cancelled when the room filled up with people wearing no masks. Do notice the social post and the article doesn’t talk about anyone being fined or arrested, however both shame the unmasked people to perpetuate fear tactics. The article is here: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/utah-meeting-masks-cancelled-when-residents-without-masks-pack-room-n1234017?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_ma
Statistics:
There is a very high likelihood that CDC statistics regarding incidence and mortality are incorrect:
- April 13, 2020 https://canadafreepress.com/article/the-cdc-confesses-to-lying-about-covid-19-death-numbers
- July 1, 2020 https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/07/huge-massive-cdc-fraud-uncovered-cdc-grossly-overcounting-active-china-coronavirus-cases-causing-states-keep-economies-closed-indefinitely/
- July 14, 2020 https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/07/exclusive-three-reasons-china-coronavirus-mortality-counts-reported-cdc-fraudulent/
- July 2, 2020 Dr. Scott Atlas, Hoover Inst. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPPRwEW-5-g discussing the spread of Covid-19 and flatlining death rates
- July 7, 2020, Dr. Scott Atlas https://youtu.be/QjJNNVzi5e0?t=326 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QjJNNVzi5e0 playback starts at 5:55 and discusses fatality rates, risks groups and risks for children
- July 14, 2020 Robert Guaderrama https://youtu.be/rOSGxWuiH18?t=837 playback starts at 14 minutes and discusses errors in counting cases in Florida
I was unable to find a date for this quote, but will include nonetheless: Catherine D’Ignazio, an MIT professor and coauthor of the recent book Data Feminism, advises caution when viewing Covid-19 visualizations of any kind, even from authoritative sources like the Centers for Disease Control. The agency offers a map displaying the number of coronavirus cases by state in ranges, using shading. That format, known as a choropleth map, means high-population states like California will appear worse-hit than smaller states even if they have lower rates of infection, D’Ignazio says. Many charts and maps don’t attempt to convey the huge uncertainties in Covid-19–related data, caused by problems ramping up testing, particularly in the US. One Ohio official recently told WIRED her state’s count of cases was likely wrong by a factor of more than 10,000. “Data visualization carries the aura of certainty—clean lines and geometric shapes and reputable sources of data all convey authority,” D’Ignazio says. “But in situations like this, those conventions are doing us a disservice.” She notes that immigrants, women, and low-income people are more likely to be among those missing cases because they are less likely to be willing or able to seek testing.
Another example, the state of Texas chose to report its own Covid statistics to refute what mainstream media was saying about their state. This is a recent stat page from Texas Public Policy Foundation which concludes that the state of Texas is certainly being cautious, however the state is not in a desperate crisis. (avail here: https://www.texaspolicy.com/snapshot?utm_content=134043896&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&hss_channel=tw-27702749 )
One gentleman chose to compare 2020 Covid deaths to the death rates of previous flu seasons in Texas. Here’s what he found:
These are the links he shared: 2019 flu data: https://t.co/E5tTqF6cPw?amp=1 (death stats shown on pg. 5) 2018 flu data: https://t.co/ScfwvS5ZYF?amp=1 (death stats shown on pg. 5) Present stats on Cov d: https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
And finally, if we look to countries or states that did not shut down, thus far, their mortality rates are not functionally different from places that did observe economic shut down and masking. Grrrr! I’m not finding my data for these resources; please know I found many! I can say Phil Kerpen’s twitter feed is full of these types of stats (further below in the section on returning kids to school).
This very last graphic regarding death stats is the most revealing. If we compare Covid deaths to other causes of other types of death, i.e. pneumonia, statistically speaking we should not necessarily ‘curves’ that are exact matches. The top of the graphic shows only Covid deaths, the bottom of the graphic shows other types of death included, yet we see similar decline in numbers for other types of death. This may very well be because the deaths reported due to Covid are accurately reported.
Herd Immunity:
April 2, 2020 Dr. Sapphire and Dr./Sen. Cassidy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVST3bgIi6Q
July 7, 2020 Dr. Scott Atlas https://youtu.be/EIoflYsp7Wg?t=1768 (playback starts at 29:28)
We are seeing herd immunity kick in. If you looked at the above articles or watched the videos, some of those experts were reporting on herd immunity. Based on researching the above, many doctors are seeing Covid cases heal quicker, have lighter symptoms, see a very high rate of non-symptomatic cases – basically a case of Covid, for the normal person, is getting much easier, demonstrating herd immunity.
Returning Kids to School:
Phil Kerpen, an American free-market policy analyst and political organizer has amassed a trove of data from many experts on risks to children returning to school. The data has been compiled into a pdf that can be downloaded here: https://committeetounleashprosperity.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/CTUP_NotSafeToKeepSchoolsClosed_Study-1.pdf
The bottom line of his several page report, citing stats from several countries, is children 0-17 have very low hospitalization rates, children are not a significant source of transmission and have a lower percentage chance of contracting Covid. Additionally, he digs into many other factors affecting children: incidence of child abuse is quickly rising; for some kids, the meals at schools are best nutrition some children receive; children are not effectively learning online, many not even showing up to virtual class, etc.
Below are a couple of social posts that Kerpen shared that provide useful data.
On July 16, 2020, Victor Davis Hansen, Fellow, Hoover Inst. speaks with Fox about returning kids to school https://youtu.be/xeuCGmddqGI?t=659 playback starts at 10:59 and discusses the LA teachers demands before re-opening schools, and covers CA Covid stats regarding death rate and general population (the lowest) very briefly at 12:25, and ends by covering how small a risk of Covid transmission children are.
Vaccines
The last pieces of data I’d like to share has to do with financial interests surrounding vaccines. Sadly, Anthony Fauci and the NIH own a financial stake in the Bill Gates funded Coronavirus vaccine. The articles establishing these details are here: https://healthandmoneynews.wordpress.com/2020/06/29/busted-nih-owns-financial-stake-in-gates-funded-coronavirus-vaccine/ and here: https://www.citizen.org/article/the-nih-vaccine/
It also bears mentioning that when Bill Gates gave all his money to the philanthropic Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, proximal to that time frame, The Bill and Melinda Gates Trust was formed. Gates has spent the last decade investing mostly in vaccine research, vaccines and technology. While he was funding these endeavors through the Foundation, his Trust took a financial stake (ownership position) in the very philanthropy the Foundation was giving money to. Gates has doubled the investment of the Foundation through the Trust in a short 12 years. For those wishing to take a deeper look at Bill Gates, here’s an excellent video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8alro6mjcsU
Below are screenshots that detail Gates’ ownership position, via a patent, in coronavirus.